What Everyone Missed About the FBI's 2024 Data

The kids are missing...from the arrest statistics

Aug 11 • 

James Tuttle

14

2

The Exaggerated Lead/Crime Hypothesis

Some impact? Probably. But not enough to write home (or a book) about

Aug 5 • 

James Tuttle

1

July 2025

The Smartphone-Induced Teen Crime Decline

Gen Z made crime rates 'crash out'

Jul 28 • 

James Tuttle

4

2

An Update from Murder Valley

Yep, still violent

Jul 22 • 

James Tuttle

13

Explaining the Crime Decline

The definitive and authoritative account

Jul 21 • 

James Tuttle

25

13

Explaining Seattle's Homicide Trends

The political narratives were wrong, but does it matter?

Jul 17 • 

James Tuttle

1

The Victims of the Homicide Epidemic

The Chapter of 'Crime Wave' I Never Wrote

Jul 8 • 

James Tuttle

3

June 2025

Future Files: A 2026 Midterm Election Prediction (of sorts)

The Politics of the Homicide Decline

Jun 10 • 

James Tuttle

April 2025

How American Decline Caused a Crime Wave

America is in decline.

Apr 29 • 

James Tuttle

Before and After the 2020 Homicide Spike

In 2020, the homicide rate spiked by its largest margin in recorded history.

Apr 19 • 

James Tuttle

3

March 2025

Drugs, Guns, and Homicide

Homicide Trends during the Fentanyl Epidemic

Mar 31 • 

James Tuttle

February 2025

Rising Inflation and Crime

Did spiking rates of inflation contribute to a crime wave?

Feb 28 • 

James Tuttle